One of the fascinating aspects of the Trump era is the extent to which
it has upended the modern understanding of politics and parties and
where it was headed. Trump's ascendance revealed many things, but
foremost among them: 1) That American voters are not as ideological as
many operatives and Beltway dwellers were treating them, and 2) That
measuring possible outcomes by the old metrics could throw observers
seriously off the scent of what was actually happening in the country.
In some ways, the Trump realignment is a move away from Bill Bishop's
"The Big Sort," a 2004 political theory and book which posited that
like-minded people clustering together physically has polarized us
politically. Trump undid some of our political segregation by turning
MidWestern blue-collar union men into Republican voters in 2016 and
many college-educated, exurban women into Democrats. Will this
switching of jerseys persist and grow through 2018 and beyond or will
the system revert to the norm? And what of those who feel disoriented
and suddenly politically homeless—who look at the new politics and
despair of the time ideology and old metrics mattered, and feel that
#LOLNothingMatters? Perhaps it's healthy that the parties and
candidates are made to compete for new demographics and the
politically disillusioned in ways they didn't have to several years
ago.
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18/10/2018 Last update